05
Jul
11

ONGC follow up..

In one of my earlier post https://writingoptions.wordpress.com/2011/06/28/petroleum-products-price-hike/, I had mentioned about writing ONGC 240 puts for July series. There have been few positive developments for ONGC in terms of Cairn-Vedanta deal pre-conditions imposed by Government of India (GOI). As expected GOI has made royalty payments cost-recoverable as one of the pre-condition for approving the deal. It is difficult to say if the arm-twisting by GOI is correct and whether it would deter FDI in E&P sector in India on account of such ad-hoc policy changes. There was good article in BS on the same, http://business-standard.com/india/news/the-algorithmspolicy/441384/.

Someone on CNBC-TV18 commented, it looks like everybody in the GOI is working overtime to ensure success of ONGC Follow-on-Public Offer (FPO). One concern after other are getting resolved for ONGC and decks are being cleared for its FPO. Still one of the biggest overhang for the company, subsidy sharing formula is still pending. I think in a week or two clarity on the formula should come from GOI.

If one looks at ONGC July & August future contract prices (Rs 7 discount), it becomes quite clear that market is expecting ONGC FPO in August and not in July. I wrote some more ONGC July series 240 puts.

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